The School of Computer Science is pleased to present…
Advanced Deep Learning Multivariate Multi-Time-Series Framework for a Novel COVID-19 Dataset
MSc Thesis Defense by: SWASTIK BAGGA
Date: Wednesday December 6, 2023
Time: 10:00 AM – 11:30 AM
Location: Essex Hall, Room 105
This thesis introduces an innovative framework aimed at addressing the complexities of predicting outcomes in multivariate multi time series datasets in regression analysis. By applying this framework to a novel COVID-19 dataset, it enhances predictive analytics by providing accurate forecasts for epidemic trends at regional or provincial levels, going beyond national-level analysis. The framework incorporates advanced data preprocessing, feature selection, engineering, encoding, and model architecture, effectively capturing intricate variable interactions and temporal dependencies. This makes it a powerful tool for tackling multivariate multi time series regression challenges, offering valuable insights for informed decision-making.
Predicting outcomes in such datasets is challenging due to variable interconnections and temporal dynamics. The framework presented in the thesis adeptly models dependencies and latent patterns while considering real-world uncertainties. It demonstrates its practical value in localized epidemic trend forecasting, where deep data understanding is crucial for effective decision-making. Extensive experimentation shows that the framework outperforms traditional regression models and time series models in terms of various performance metrics, such as R^2, MAE, MaxAE, and RMSE. A novel model, DeepAREstimator, is introduced to balance performance and training time, offering a maintainable and scalable solution for real-world applications.
The findings contribute to advancing predictive analytics, and providing essential insights for decision-making, particularly in localized epidemic trend forecasting.
Internal Reader: Dr. Saeed Samet
External Reader: Dr. Ahmed Hamdi Sakr
Advisor: Dr. Ziad Kobti
Chair: Dr. Shafaq Khan